Golovkin vs Rubio Preview

FIGHT LOCATION & DATE:

StubHub Center, Carson, California: October 18

Golovkin vs Rubio PREVIEW

There is a lot on the line for the upcoming fight between Gennady ‘GGG’ Golovkin (29-0, 27 KO’s)¬†and Marco Antonio Rubio (59-6-1, 51 KOs). The winner will get to face Miguel Cotto for a shot at the WBC title. Talk about opportunity. This fight represents the biggest shot at true stardom and respect in the boxing world: a fight against proven veteran and champion Miguel Cotto.

The notion of facing Cotto is even more interesting from Golovkin’s perspective, because there were always murmurs of Cotto not wanting to face Golovkin. After Golovkin beat down Geale, it seemed fair that he would get a shot at Cotto, but Cotto and his handlers, namely Freddie Roach, said that Golovkin just wasn’t a big enough name to be worthy to face Cotto. Now that the WBC has officially ordered Cotto to defend his middleweight championship belt against the winner of Golovkin/Rubio, Cotto and his camp have no choice in the matter. (Considering that they were likely anticipating a Canelo fight somewhere down the line, this order from the WBC makes that a bit more difficult).

Gennady Golovkin Profile

As we covered in a prior preview, Golovkin is a hugely impressive puncher, with an absurdly high knockout rate of over 90%, including 13 consecutive WBA defenses. Golovkin has significant punching prowess that really hasn’t been tested yet, and he has not looked vulnerable. It’s no surprise that Cotto has not wanted to face him (yet), though to be fair, Golovkin does need to go through the ranks and earn his stripes before he gets to face an A list boxer such as Cotto.

The only knock on Golovkin has been that his opponents have been considered somewhat subpar. Geale was a fair fight, but beyond that, Golovkin has not faced anyone who put his unbeaten record at risk. Does this say more about Golovkin’s skill or more about his shoddy opponents? I’d side with the former. Golovkin simply hasn’t gotten the fights that he wants or deserved. It would not be unfair to say that bigger fighters have been ducking Golovkin. For a boxer with such punching prowess who hasn’t really been tested yet, (after 30 victories), it’s understandable why he has been unable to net a big fight. This goes without saying that this Rubio fight is going to be easy work for Golovkin.

Marco Antonio Rubio Profile

With 59 wins, Rubio has some experience in the ring. But don’t be fooled by his record – if you thought that Golovkin’s opponents have been weak, you’ll probably roll your eyes after seeing who Rubio has faced. Rubio’s last 6 victories were over opponents who have a combined 36 losses. Yikes. The two biggest fighters whom Rubio has faced: Kelly Pavlik in 2009 and Julio Cesar Chavez Jr in 2012 both resulted in losses. Beyond that, none of Rubio’s opponents bear any semblance to a big name fighter. At 5’10, Rubio is just about with Golovkin’s 5’11 frame, and both have a 70″ reach. In terms of punching prowess, Rubio simply doesn’t have the same amount as Golovkin – I don’t see how he come close to a knockout or outlasting the bruising amount of jabs that Golovkin will land.

Golovkin Rubio Prediction

Golovkin is poised to knock Rubio out, the question is what round. He might start off slow, but his last few victories were knockouts in rounds: 3, 7, 8, 3, 3, 7, 5, 3, 1. I’m guessing that Golovkin knocks out Rubio in the 4th round.

 

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